*Group members in bold
Submitted
Bigalke, S., P. Loikith, N. Siler. Explaining the recent record low Great Salt Lake volume. Geophysical Research Letters, submitted.
Kukla, T., N. Siler, R. Fiorella, M. M. Lague, C. Hvam, J. K. C. Rugenstein, A. L. S. Swann. Large isotope signals in tropical precipitation require large-scale changes in rainout. In Revision. Preprint.
2024
Siler, N., R. Fiorella, T. Kukla: A unified interpretation of variability in precipitation isotope ratios. Journal of Climate, In press. Preprint.
Hall, A., S. Rahimi, J. Norris, N. Ban, N. Siler, L. R. Leung, P. Ullrich,K. A. Reed, A. F. Prein, Y. Qian: An evaluation of dynamical downscaling methods used to project regional climate change. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, In press.
Bonan, D., N. Feldl, N. Siler, J. Kay, K. Armour, I. Eisenman, G. Roe: The influence of climate feedbacks on regional hydrological changes under global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett. DOI: 10.1029/2023GL106648.
Koszuta, M., N. Siler, L. R. Leung, J. Wettstein: Weakened orographic influence on cool-season precipitation in simulations of future warming over the western US. Geophys. Res. Lett. DOI: 10.1029/2023GL107298.
2023
Zhou, W., L. R. Leung, N. Siler, J. Lu: Future precipitation increase constrained by climatological pattern of cloud effect. Nature Communications. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-42181-x.
Siler, N., D. Bonan, A. Donohoe: Diagnosing mechanisms of hydrologic change under global warming in the CESM1 Large Ensemble. J. Climate, 36, 8243–8257. Formatted version. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0086.1
Bonan, D., N. Siler, G. Roe, K. Armour: Energetic constraints on the pattern of changes to the hydrological cycle under global warming. J. Climate, 36, 3499–3522. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0337.1
O’Neill, L. and N. Siler: Drought, and O’Neill, L., N. Siler, P. Loikith, A. Arends: Extreme Temperatures, in Sixth Oregon Climate Assessment. E. Fleishman, editor. DOI: 10.5399/osu/1161
2022
Po-Chedley, S., J. Fasullo, N. Siler, E. Barnes, Z. Labe, C. Bonfils, B. Santer: Internal variability and forcing influence model-satellite differences in the rate of tropical tropospheric warming. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119 (47) e2209431119. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2209431119
Rupp, D., L. Hawkins, S. Li, M. Koszuta, N. Siler: Spatial patterns of extreme precipitation and their changes under ~2 °C global warming: A large-ensemble study of the western USA. Climate Dynamics, 59, 2363–2379. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06214-3
2021
Fiorella, R., N. Siler, J. Nusbaumer, and D. Noone: Enhancing understanding of the hydrological cycle via pairing of process-oriented and isotope ratio tracers. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13 (10), e2021MS002632. DOI: 10.1029/2021MS002648.
Siler, N., A. Bailey, G. Roe, C. Buizert, B. Markle, and D. Noone, 2021: The large-scale, long-term coupling of temperature, hydrology, and water isotopes. J. Climate, 34 (16), 6725-6742. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0563.10.
Burls, N., C.D. Bradshaw, …, N. Siler, …, 2021:.: Simulating Miocene warmth: insights from an opportunistic Multi-Model ensemble (MioMIP1). Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 36, e2020PA004054. DOI: 10.1029/2020PA004054
Huston, A., N. Siler, G. Roe, E. Pettit, and N. Steiger, 2021: Understanding drivers of glacier length variability over the last millennium. The Cryosphere, 15, 1645–1662. DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-1645-2021
2020
Inglis, G., F. Bragg, …, N. Siler, …, 2020: Global mean surface temperature and climate sensitivity of the EECO, PETM and latest Paleocene. Clim. Past, 16, 1953–1968. DOI: 10.5194/cp-16-1953-2020
Payne, A., M. Demory, L.R. Leung, A. Ramos, C. Shields, J. Rutz, N. Siler, G. Villarini, A. Hall, and F.M. Ralph, 2020. Atmospheric river responses to climate change and shifting hydrological impacts. Nature Reviews Earth Environ., 1, 143–157. DOI: 10.1038/s43017-020-0030-5
2019
Armour, K.C., N. Siler, A. Donohoe and G.H. Roe, 2019: Meridional atmospheric heat transport constrained by energetics and mediated by large-scale diffusion. J. Climate, 32, 3655–3680. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0563.1.
Siler, N., G. Roe, K. Armour, and N. Feldl, 2019: Revisiting the surface-energy-flux perspective on the sensitivity of global precipitation to climate change. Climate Dynamics, 52(7), 3983-3995. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4359-0. Full text (read only).
Siler, N., C. Proistosescu, and S. Po-Chedley, 2019: Natural variability has slowed the decline in western-US snowpack since the 1980s. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46(1), 346-355. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL081080.
2018
Bonan, D. B., K. C. Armour, G. H. Roe, N. Siler, and N. Feldl, 2018: Sources of uncertainty in the meridional pattern of climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett.,45(17), 9131-9140. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL079429
Siler, N., G. Roe, and K. Armour, 2018: Insights into the zonal-mean response of the hydrologic cycle to global warming from a diffusive energy balance model. J. Climate, 31 (18), 7481-7493. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0081.1
Amaya, D., N. Siler, A. Miller, and S.P. Xie, 2018: The interplay of internal and forced modes of Hadley cell width variability. Climate Dynamics, 51, 305-319. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3921-5. Full text (read-only).
Siler, N., S. Po-Chedley, and C. Bretherton, 2018: Variability in modeled cloud feedback tied to differences in the climatological spatial pattern of clouds. Climate Dynamics, 50, 1209-1220. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3673-2. Full text (read-only).
2017
Siler, N., Y. Kosaka, S.P. Xie, and X. Li, 2017: Tropical ocean contributions to California’s surprisingly dry El Ni˜no of 2015-16. J. Climate, 30 (24), 10067-10079. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D- 17-0177.1.
2016
Siler, N. and D. Durran, 2016: What causes weak orographic rain shadows? Insights from case studies in the Cascades and idealized simulations. J. Atmos. Sci., 73 (10), 4077-4099. DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0371.1
Christian, J., N. Siler, G. Roe, and M. Koutnik, 2016: Identifying dynamically induced variability in glacier mass balance records. J. Climate, 29 (24), 8915-8929. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0128.1
2015
Siler, N. and D. Durran, 2015: Assessing the influence of the tropopause on mountain waves and orographic precipitation using linear theory and numerical simulations. J. Atm. Sci., 72 (2), 803-820. DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-14-0200.1
2014
Siler, N. and G. Roe, 2014: How will orographic precipitation respond to surface warming? An idealized thermodynamic perspective. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 2606- 2613. DOI: 10.1002/2013GL059095
2013
Siler, N., G. Roe, and D. Durran, 2013: On the dynamical causes of variability in the rain-shadow effect: a case study of the Washington Cascades. J. Hydrometeor., 14 (1), 122-139. DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-12-045.1
